Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is interesting reading from @BaldingsWorld world but one issue that if case detection improves over time, which it almost certainly does (i.e. because you ramp up testing), then empirically-derived estimates of R0 from the number of *detected* cases will be overestimated. — PolitiTweet.org

I wrote this about corona. It is very clear the R0 is higher than WHO guidelines and the number of undetected cases… https://t.co/jBTdBYBXmd

Posted March 29, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, that's a national average. Maybe, as of 10 days ago, R0 was 2.1 in Florida, 0.9 in NYC and 0.7 in the SF Bay. The data seems consistent with that. But it's hard to anchor to anything when so many cases are undetected, so it could also be consistent with other theories. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 29, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It is neither the best-case scenario nor the worst-case scenario, according to outside experts, and reporters need to recognize that the White House is capable of expectations-framing / spin. https://t.co/oMWfVdQVVd — PolitiTweet.org

Some on right pointed to media reports about the 100-200k deaths # as hype and irresponsible use of "worst case" sc… https://t.co/Y40HntYlVY

Posted March 30, 2020 Hibernated