Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 4, 2020

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Mon Mar 30 13:55:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It is neither the best-case scenario nor the worst-case scenario, according to outside experts, and reporters need to recognize that the White House is capable of expectations-framing / spin. https://t.co/oMWfVdQVVd — PolitiTweet.org

Some on right pointed to media reports about the 100-200k deaths # as hype and irresponsible use of "worst case" sc… https://t.co/Y40HntYlVY

Posted March 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is interesting reading from @BaldingsWorld world but one issue that if case detection improves over time, which it almost certainly does (i.e. because you ramp up testing), then empirically-derived estimates of R0 from the number of *detected* cases will be overestimated. — PolitiTweet.org

I wrote this about corona. It is very clear the R0 is higher than WHO guidelines and the number of undetected cases… https://t.co/jBTdBYBXmd

Posted March 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @donnellymjd: Check out my latest article about how to know whether NY's lockdown is working well enough to turn the tide against #COVID… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 30, 2020 Retweet Hibernated