Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Sept. 4, 2020

Created

Thu Mar 19 21:54:56 +0000 2020

Likes

1,128

Retweets

100

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While I get why people like to cite those numbers to spark action⁠—our testing/surveillance is way behind in the US, the numbers COULD get VERY bad without social distancing⁠—this is also a long game and I worry about the effects of citing numbers like that without context. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 19, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Folks you've gotta be careful when you see numbers like "50% of the population will be infected with coronavirus within 6 weeks". Those assume that the virus essentially continues unchecked other than thru herd immunity. Continued social distancing should bend the curve a lot. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 19, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Why is it a long game? Because one fairly likely outcome, per epidemiologists, is that we'll have to deal with multiple waves of COVID-19. Citing uncontextualized worst-case scenarios that don't come to fruition will make it harder for people to buy in when 2nd/3rd/etc waves hit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 19, 2020 Hibernated