Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 4, 2020

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Thu Mar 19 21:58:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Why is it a long game? Because one fairly likely outcome, per epidemiologists, is that we'll have to deal with multiple waves of COVID-19. Citing uncontextualized worst-case scenarios that don't come to fruition will make it harder for people to buy in when 2nd/3rd/etc waves hit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While I get why people like to cite those numbers to spark action⁠—our testing/surveillance is way behind in the US, the numbers COULD get VERY bad without social distancing⁠—this is also a long game and I worry about the effects of citing numbers like that without context. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well there are 3 hypotheses 1) Suggests the rate among the general population is much higher than assumed 2) They'… https://t.co/HyPE6aK8Ir — PolitiTweet.org

So like 5% of the NBA has this thing, how is this possible? https://t.co/tcla4BLBN1

Posted March 19, 2020 Hibernated