Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked June 26, 2020

Created

Thu Feb 06 04:44:22 +0000 2020

Likes

248

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our model had priced in a Buttigieg bounce in NH, but he's made some further gains in our forecast after tonight's polling, mostly coming at the expense of Biden. Sanders: 2 in 3 (67%) Buttigieg: 1 in 4 (24%) Warren: 1 in 20 (7%) Biden 1 in 30 (3%) https://t.co/gul5ZwKQfc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@R_Thaler @jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn Yeah, we don't even try to model that part. My point is just that people conflate "Bloomberg looks like the strongest candidate at the end of the process" vs. "Bloomberg wins an outright majority of pledged delegates" which are pretty different scenarios in his case. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe indicative of something, maybe not, but Steyer underperformed his polling in Iowa, getting 1.8% of the first-alignment vote vs. 3.6% in polls. So did Bloomberg (0.1% vs 1.2%). It seems at least plausible that polls for ad-driven candidates won't translate 1:1 into votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated