Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked June 18, 2020

Created

Mon Feb 03 04:35:46 +0000 2020

Likes

163

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Empirically, the error on Iowa polls is high. It's entirely possible Klob could sneak in to 3rd place. Higher than that? Well, our model gives her a ~1 in 40 chance of winning. But that would be a case where the polls had missed something, not "normal margin of error" stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Klobuchar would be fairly interesting if she were at 13%, and not at all interesting if she were at 7%. She's wound up right in the middle, at 10%. She has made some gains over the past month but we can now rule out a Santorum-like trajectory with a huge last-minute poll surge. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. It's not unheard of for polls to come out on caucus day. We'll normally freeze our model in the morning on day… https://t.co/SwSOWttaG0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated