
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
In the model, all of this is defined relative to "expectations"; more specifically, relative to national polls. So, e.g. Warren, Klobuchar or Buttigieg would get a bigger bounce, because they aren't doing as well in national polls as Biden/Sanders. — PolitiTweet.org
Jonathan Bernstein @jbview
Not criticizing, because you have to do is some way, but it seems to me the bounce can come from beating expectatio… https://t.co/uenJELch8U