Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Thu Jan 02 17:56:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lanes have actually become *underrated* in the Democratic primaries among some election wonk/analyst types. If you look at the data carefully, you do see evidence of lanes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol I don't think the data is robust enough to really distinguish which way is best. But my prior from e.g. Congressional races is that self-funding needs to be substantially discounted, but not necessarily all the way to zero. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

i.e. Sanders and Warren supporters are quite a bit more likely to have the other one as their second choice than if they were just shopping around at random. Conversely, Sanders and Buttigieg supporters are particularly *unlikely* to have the other candidate as a second choice. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 2, 2020 Hibernated