Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Thu Jan 02 17:56:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

i.e. Sanders and Warren supporters are quite a bit more likely to have the other one as their second choice than if they were just shopping around at random. Conversely, Sanders and Buttigieg supporters are particularly *unlikely* to have the other candidate as a second choice. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lanes have actually become *underrated* in the Democratic primaries among some election wonk/analyst types. If you look at the data carefully, you do see evidence of lanes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

OK but we should be beyond the point where we can only think in terms of purely deterministic lanes (e.g. assuming that every Sanders voter has Warren as their 2nd choice) or no lanes at all (e.g. assuming it's totally random). It's somewhere maybe about halfway in between. — PolitiTweet.org

To the extent that there are “lanes” in primaries, they are fairly dynamic and aren’t decided by 1-3 traits but lik… https://t.co/vYUAppMcbH

Posted Jan. 2, 2020 Hibernated