Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Thu Jan 02 12:51:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol I don't think the data is robust enough to really distinguish which way is best. But my prior from e.g. Congressional races is that self-funding needs to be substantially discounted, but not necessarily all the way to zero. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol For our model we"ll calculate fundraising 3 ways: as a share of small donor money raised, as a share of all money raised from individual donors, and finally as a share of all money regardless of source (including self-financing). So Bloomberg and Steyer get *some* credit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lanes have actually become *underrated* in the Democratic primaries among some election wonk/analyst types. If you look at the data carefully, you do see evidence of lanes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 2, 2020 Hibernated