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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

Created

Fri Dec 27 01:12:55 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kombiz @jbview @joshtpm But by the same token if she were to gain a couple of points nationally, that would likely be reflected in the early states as well. And the lack of early state polling makes the whole thing more uncertain. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kombiz @jbview @joshtpm I'm happy whenever people use the models! There hasn't been a lot of state polling recently and it's reasonable to infer Warren has fallen in the early states given that she's fallen nationally (that's what the models are doing). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Pretty hard to know what's going on in the primary with few early state polls lately. Recall how much a few good Buttigieg polls in Iowa changed the narrative and possibly also the actual trajectory of the campaign. — PolitiTweet.org

Geoffrey Skelley @geoffreyvs

Pollsters are probably waiting for 2020 before releasing new polls. Last survey released in each early state (+fiel… https://t.co/flR8akzcJA

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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