Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Fri Dec 27 15:40:00 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Pretty hard to know what's going on in the primary with few early state polls lately. Recall how much a few good Buttigieg polls in Iowa changed the narrative and possibly also the actual trajectory of the campaign. — PolitiTweet.org

Pollsters are probably waiting for 2020 before releasing new polls. Last survey released in each early state (+fiel… https://t.co/flR8akzcJA

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kombiz @jbview @joshtpm But by the same token if she were to gain a couple of points nationally, that would likely be reflected in the early states as well. And the lack of early state polling makes the whole thing more uncertain. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The thing is that the more prolific fundraisers can raise $500K, $1M or more per day in the several days leading up to the quarterly deadlines. It's pretty doubtful it would be enough for Warren to match her Q3, but it could get fairly close and this serves to lower expectations. — PolitiTweet.org

Warren campaign says they’ve raised only $17 million in Q4 with days to go — far less than $24.6 million in Q3. It… https://t.co/J9JdJ7sVoY

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated