Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Fri Dec 27 01:11:27 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kombiz @jbview @joshtpm I'm happy whenever people use the models! There hasn't been a lot of state polling recently and it's reasonable to infer Warren has fallen in the early states given that she's fallen nationally (that's what the models are doing). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @jbview I don't think the ceiling thing is particularly borne out by the polling but it's also not a question that's been put to the test because he's never really been perceived as a frontrunner. Warren did get the frontrunner treatment for a month or so and it didn't go super great. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kombiz @jbview @joshtpm But by the same token if she were to gain a couple of points nationally, that would likely be reflected in the early states as well. And the lack of early state polling makes the whole thing more uncertain. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated