Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Thu Dec 26 21:03:22 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris Also, consumer sentiment is definitely NOT exogenous to politics. Shutdowns and the like can also heavily influence consumer confidence without impacting the economy per se. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris But there's lots of evidence that voters don't blame a new president for a recession that began before his term. Almost all of the variance in economic performance under Obama came in 2009 and it was rather steady from 2010-16 (unless you're cherry-picking indicators). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris I don't doubt that partisanship rules everything, producing less overall change in e.g. approval ratings, but the question IMO is whether the economy is becoming less important **relative to other things**. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 26, 2019 Hibernated