Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Thu Dec 26 21:14:25 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris I don't doubt that partisanship rules everything, producing less overall change in e.g. approval ratings, but the question IMO is whether the economy is becoming less important **relative to other things**. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris Also, consumer sentiment is definitely NOT exogenous to politics. Shutdowns and the like can also heavily influence consumer confidence without impacting the economy per se. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris If an event that would formerly have moved approval by +/-5 points now moves them by +/- 2 because of partisanship, it might seem like nothing matters. But high partisanship also implies that national elections are close, so 2 points may make as much difference as 5 did before. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 26, 2019 Hibernated