Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked May 3, 2020

Created

Thu Dec 12 22:41:23 +0000 2019

Likes

2,027

Retweets

397

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mean, he played his hand well, but it's not really *that* clever. He just trusted polls showing that Corbyn was extremely unpopular and calculated that Remain support would be more divided than Leave as a result. — PolitiTweet.org

If the exit polls hold, Boris Johnson comes through looking like the most effective machiavellian in the contemporary West.

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So it's not beyond reproach. It can certainly be outweighed by other things in any given election. And defining "extreme" is a challenge. But overall, many hypothesis people *believe* to be true about politics are probably 2s or 3s on the evidence scale. So a 6 or 7 isn't bad. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson I mean, this something I'll probably never have time to write up. But I sort of think if the left accepted the premise "other things held equal, voters *do* punish perceived 'extremism' on a left-right scale", they could work around that as a constraint and win more elections... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated