Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

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Thu Dec 12 23:05:57 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson I mean, this something I'll probably never have time to write up. But I sort of think if the left accepted the premise "other things held equal, voters *do* punish perceived 'extremism' on a left-right scale", they could work around that as a constraint and win more elections... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mean, he played his hand well, but it's not really *that* clever. He just trusted polls showing that Corbyn was extremely unpopular and calculated that Remain support would be more divided than Leave as a result. — PolitiTweet.org

If the exit polls hold, Boris Johnson comes through looking like the most effective machiavellian in the contemporary West.

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson Like, if you're gonna run someone who's pretty far to the left, he/she ought to be charismatic and relatively scandal-free and a good retail campaigner like Bernie and not a mediocre politician with excess baggage and anti-Semitic dalliances like Corbyn. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated