Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked May 3, 2020

Created

Thu Dec 12 22:26:36 +0000 2019

Likes

545

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 is "no evidence whatsoever" and 10 is "extremely robust empirical and theoretical evidence across multiple regimes to the point where it's an immutable iron law of politics", the evidence for "extreme parties fare worse" is like a 6. Maybe a 7. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are about a billion complications, and every election has its host of one-off contingencies. But there is reasonably robust evidence that, over the long run, parties & candidates that are perceived as more "extreme" tend to fare worse electorally, other things held equal. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So it's not beyond reproach. It can certainly be outweighed by other things in any given election. And defining "extreme" is a challenge. But overall, many hypothesis people *believe* to be true about politics are probably 2s or 3s on the evidence scale. So a 6 or 7 isn't bad. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2019 Hibernated