Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 30, 2020

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Wed Dec 04 02:32:47 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That is to say, by far the most important conclusion from the endorsement data is that the party hasn't really decided yet (i.e. there have been relatively few endorsements). Probably the 2nd most important conclusion is that they're espeicallly lukewarm on all the non-Bidens. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, but she also had ~4% of the total possible endorsement points. And Biden only has 6 or 7%. (Also, Harris had almost no endorsements recently.) Empirically, it's the absolute share of party support that's predictive, much more than the relative one. That's the point. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Your own site's metric suggests Harris was second in "endorsement points" despite polling at 5 perce… https://t.co/gMpdeeHN3k

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And the 3rd most important conclusion is the only candidate with semi-OK endorsements *is* leading in the polls. The polls and endorsements tell a quite similar story in fact. They both point toward Biden being a fairly weak frontrunner, but no one else able to overtake him. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated