Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 30, 2020

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Wed Dec 04 02:51:23 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And the 3rd most important conclusion is the only candidate with semi-OK endorsements *is* leading in the polls. The polls and endorsements tell a quite similar story in fact. They both point toward Biden being a fairly weak frontrunner, but no one else able to overtake him. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That is to say, by far the most important conclusion from the endorsement data is that the party hasn't really decided yet (i.e. there have been relatively few endorsements). Probably the 2nd most important conclusion is that they're espeicallly lukewarm on all the non-Bidens. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Actually I've looked at 40 years of data on how primaries work instead of cherry-picking counterexamples. Having two super white states go first is a big disadvantage to nonwhite candidates. And Obama remains the only nonwhite candidate ever nominated by a major party. — PolitiTweet.org

am i losing my fucking mind. did every pundit just get together and decide this never happened… https://t.co/DssAGthndE

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated