Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, but she also had ~4% of the total possible endorsement points. And Biden only has 6 or 7%. (Also, Harris had almost no endorsements recently.) Empirically, it's the absolute share of party support that's predictive, much more than the relative one. That's the point. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Your own site's metric suggests Harris was second in "endorsement points" despite polling at 5 perce… https://t.co/gMpdeeHN3k

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In fact, there's an alternative story about party elites being too afraid to intervene in the race because of 2016. That may be changing (see e.g. recent Obama comments, efforts to draft a new candidate). But they haven't been particularly forceful up until now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That is to say, by far the most important conclusion from the endorsement data is that the party hasn't really decided yet (i.e. there have been relatively few endorsements). Probably the 2nd most important conclusion is that they're espeicallly lukewarm on all the non-Bidens. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated