Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 30, 2020

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Wed Dec 04 01:36:38 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In fact, there's an alternative story about party elites being too afraid to intervene in the race because of 2016. That may be changing (see e.g. recent Obama comments, efforts to draft a new candidate). But they haven't been particularly forceful up until now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

More recently, she was largely ignored by donor types looking for an alternative to the Top 4. In between, she didn't have a lot of surrogates defending her health care plan. Nor, until *today* really, has there been that much talk about the all-white Top 4 & what that means... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, but she also had ~4% of the total possible endorsement points. And Biden only has 6 or 7%. (Also, Harris had almost no endorsements recently.) Empirically, it's the absolute share of party support that's predictive, much more than the relative one. That's the point. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Your own site's metric suggests Harris was second in "endorsement points" despite polling at 5 perce… https://t.co/gMpdeeHN3k

Posted Dec. 4, 2019 Hibernated