Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 30, 2020

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Fri Nov 29 16:49:20 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol Clearly the ads have *some* effect but it's a lot closer to zero than to Ryan's implication that it's been the major factor behind the polling movement in Iowa. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1) California and New York are a lot more representative of the United States than many states (say, Iowa or New Hampshire). The United States is primarily an urban country and a fairly diverse one. 2) The most recent presidential election featured two candidates from...New York. — PolitiTweet.org

It’s hard to run for national office from California or New York. The urban parts of those states are so unrepresen… https://t.co/NNx0AN7RxI

Posted Nov. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Home states of recent presidents: 45. NY (not a swing state) 44. IL ( " ") 43. TX (not a swing state during GWB's term) 42. AR (sort of a swing state when Clinton was POTUS, but not a traditional one) 41. TX again 40. CA (actually was a swing state once but still...) — PolitiTweet.org

Yes, but they are not so representative of much of the Electoral College, which is the key big whammy. https://t.co/w0uRlygr9g

Posted Nov. 29, 2019 Hibernated