Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1) California and New York are a lot more representative of the United States than many states (say, Iowa or New Hampshire). The United States is primarily an urban country and a fairly diverse one. 2) The most recent presidential election featured two candidates from...New York. — PolitiTweet.org

It’s hard to run for national office from California or New York. The urban parts of those states are so unrepresen… https://t.co/NNx0AN7RxI

Posted Nov. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Whatever it is, it's (mostly) not the advertising. The advertising has likely has had fairly minor effects, as attested to by the fact that Steyer is in a distant 6th place. — PolitiTweet.org

What could possibly be driving the poll movement in Iowa https://t.co/uHNDz87DBO

Posted Nov. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol Clearly the ads have *some* effect but it's a lot closer to zero than to Ryan's implication that it's been the major factor behind the polling movement in Iowa. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2019 Hibernated