Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Sat Nov 16 17:28:53 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3) Booker, Harris and Klobuchar *collectively* have only a 3-4% chance at prediction markets and it's surely higher than that. 4) The chances for late-entry candidates to win—i.e. Bloomberg, Patrick, Clinton—are overrated, conversely. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A few things I think about the D primary: 1) I've been a bit resistant to this, but yeah it's pretty wide open. Buttigieg's gains in IA/NH complicate things a lot. 2) Biden's not much of frontrunner, but his chances are nonetheless underrated by the conventional wisdom. cont— — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I can't really figure our whether folks actually think M4A is passable in 2021 (it would be very hard) or whether they think it's bad strategy to concede right now that M4A isn't likely to be passed (I don't have strong feelings about the best strategy, but a plausible argument). — PolitiTweet.org

nobody seems to actually believe Berniecare is passable, so far as I can tell?

Posted Nov. 16, 2019 Hibernated