Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Sat Nov 16 17:28:53 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A few things I think about the D primary: 1) I've been a bit resistant to this, but yeah it's pretty wide open. Buttigieg's gains in IA/NH complicate things a lot. 2) Biden's not much of frontrunner, but his chances are nonetheless underrated by the conventional wisdom. cont— — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kirkgoldsberry Honestly someone needs to organize a preseason tournament called the Poll Bowl with Monmouth, Quinnipiac, Siena and Marist College and the winner gets a free Iowa voter file. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3) Booker, Harris and Klobuchar *collectively* have only a 3-4% chance at prediction markets and it's surely higher than that. 4) The chances for late-entry candidates to win—i.e. Bloomberg, Patrick, Clinton—are overrated, conversely. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2019 Hibernated