Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 14, 2020

Created

Sun Nov 10 17:11:53 +0000 2019

Likes

476

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you're going more than about a ¼-step beyond that ^^^ toward further Biden pessimism, then you're simply overrating how much your subjective priors are worth relative to the objective indicators (i.e. polls, endorsements, etc.). Or you're cherry-picking data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you want to say “Biden's weaker than his national polls would suggest”, that's reasonable (indeed correct IMO). But the next sentence ought to be roughly “nonetheless his position is decent, the other candidates have their own issues, and he’s among the more likely nominees”. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@poniewozik For a LECTURE, no, probably not. Write out bullet points or an outline instead. Or if you have a slide deck, that can usually guide you. If it's a proper SPEECH with lots of pomp and circumstance (say you're honoring someone/being honored somehow) you maybe want to write it out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2019 Hibernated