Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 15, 2020

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Sun Nov 10 21:06:26 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@poniewozik For a LECTURE, no, probably not. Write out bullet points or an outline instead. Or if you have a slide deck, that can usually guide you. If it's a proper SPEECH with lots of pomp and circumstance (say you're honoring someone/being honored somehow) you maybe want to write it out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you're going more than about a ¼-step beyond that ^^^ toward further Biden pessimism, then you're simply overrating how much your subjective priors are worth relative to the objective indicators (i.e. polls, endorsements, etc.). Or you're cherry-picking data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's frustrating how many apparent statements of fact in narrative-driven coverage of the campaign is contradicted by simply looking at a table of recent polls. And it often reveals a lot about the news media's implicit and explicit biases. — PolitiTweet.org

Really don't get how Mayor Pete "holds a commanding position in Iowa" when he's finished 2nd in two recent polls an… https://t.co/wZtsnuv87N

Posted Nov. 10, 2019 Hibernated