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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

Created

Tue Oct 01 20:07:17 +0000 2019

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97

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've said it before, but the extent to which the media hypes up the importance of various early states is often as a tell as to which candidate it's implicitly rooting for. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some observations: 1) Not *that* different from national polls 2) SC is big for Biden and makes up for big problems elsewhere 3) Bernie just not doing well compared to national polls, even though these should be good states for him 4) Buttigieg doing a bit better in early states — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

SC polls (good for Biden) and NV polls (relatively good for Bernie) don't get nearly as much attention as Iowa and NH polls (usually good for Warren). And sure, IA and NH will go first and affect the results in NV/SC. But NV/SC reflect the demographics of the party a lot better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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