Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

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Tue Oct 01 19:52:09 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some observations: 1) Not *that* different from national polls 2) SC is big for Biden and makes up for big problems elsewhere 3) Bernie just not doing well compared to national polls, even though these should be good states for him 4) Buttigieg doing a bit better in early states — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With the Winthrop poll just out in SC, we now have 10 early-state polls (3 IA, 2 NH, 2 NV, 3 SC) conducted since the debate. Here's what you get if you average them together: Biden — 26.5 Warren — 20.9 Sanders — 12.3 Buttigieg — 7.1 Harris — 4.6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've said it before, but the extent to which the media hypes up the importance of various early states is often as a tell as to which candidate it's implicitly rooting for. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated