Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

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Tue Oct 01 20:07:17 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

SC polls (good for Biden) and NV polls (relatively good for Bernie) don't get nearly as much attention as Iowa and NH polls (usually good for Warren). And sure, IA and NH will go first and affect the results in NV/SC. But NV/SC reflect the demographics of the party a lot better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've said it before, but the extent to which the media hypes up the importance of various early states is often as a tell as to which candidate it's implicitly rooting for. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @drvox I don't think there's any reason to think it would be 35-40%. As a share of the overall electorate, Trump *primary* voters from 2020 made up something like 20% of the voting population, depending on how you count. That might be a better starting point. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2019 Hibernated