Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Thu Aug 08 16:02:42 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten Prediction markets have them at ~50% almost exactly. It's close but I *think* I'd take the Biden + Warren package vs. the field. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump lost Iowa in what was a pretty big upset vs. the polls and he did just fine, obviously. Clinton came as close as you can to losing Iowa, then got crushed in NH, but recovered in NV/SC and didn't come particularly close to losing the nomination. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is about the time in a presidential campaign when there will start to be a lot of poll unskeweing. Ignore the people who say ignore the polls. Ignore the people who don't understand the uncertainty in polls and who treat them as gospel. But especially ignore the unskewers. — PolitiTweet.org

This is about the time in a presidential campaign when there will start to be a lot of polls. National polls, state… https://t.co/LKxb9EyQKZ

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated