Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is about the time in a presidential campaign when there will start to be a lot of poll unskeweing. Ignore the people who say ignore the polls. Ignore the people who don't understand the uncertainty in polls and who treat them as gospel. But especially ignore the unskewers. — PolitiTweet.org

This is about the time in a presidential campaign when there will start to be a lot of polls. National polls, state… https://t.co/LKxb9EyQKZ

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten Prediction markets have them at ~50% almost exactly. It's close but I *think* I'd take the Biden + Warren package vs. the field. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@danpfeiffer But both the nominees in 2016 basically did poorly in Iowa and (relatedly) it's become decreasingly representative of the overall electorate, especially for Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated