Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Thu Aug 08 16:00:54 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump lost Iowa in what was a pretty big upset vs. the polls and he did just fine, obviously. Clinton came as close as you can to losing Iowa, then got crushed in NH, but recovered in NV/SC and didn't come particularly close to losing the nomination. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Relative to the conventional wisdom, I'm short on the importance of Iowa. It's obviously pretty important, maybe very important, but people are treating it as though it's very, very, very important, when there's pretty decent evidence that its impact has lessened recently. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten Prediction markets have them at ~50% almost exactly. It's close but I *think* I'd take the Biden + Warren package vs. the field. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 8, 2019 Hibernated