Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Fri Jul 19 19:42:24 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn There are a lot of ways to impute uncontested results and a lot of them are pretty bad. And if you're doing that, you probably also ought to adjust for incumbency, which generally hurt the D's in swing states since they were running against mostly GOP incumbents. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn I don't really agree with you, although part of that is that I think it's a mistake, 16 months ahead of the election, to try to pinpoint the exact tipping point state instead of looking at the overall robustness of the map. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn Conditional on Democrats winning the popular vote by 3 points, would you bet on Trump winning the Electoral College? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated