Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Fri Jul 19 19:36:27 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn I don't really agree with you, although part of that is that I think it's a mistake, 16 months ahead of the election, to try to pinpoint the exact tipping point state instead of looking at the overall robustness of the map. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The fact that the results of people *actually voting* in the 2018 midterms implies a rather different takeaway than 2018 polls suggests this line of analysis is not super robust though. — PolitiTweet.org

As I emphasize in the final section: '2018 isn't destiny.' There are many ways for this to change. But we can talk… https://t.co/R9Uti9x0iG

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn There are a lot of ways to impute uncontested results and a lot of them are pretty bad. And if you're doing that, you probably also ought to adjust for incumbency, which generally hurt the D's in swing states since they were running against mostly GOP incumbents. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated