Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 9, 2020

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Wed May 01 15:01:02 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You can say, "Bernie came close so polls were wrong!" But if you're forecasting just who wins the nomination, close *doesn't* count. If a candidate who polls at X wins Y% of the time, that doesn't mean she always wins in a cakewalk; Y% includes cases where she wins a squeaker. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Periodic reminder: the candidate who led the early polls won the Democratic nomination in 2016. And on the GOP side, while Trump didn't lead immediately after entering the race, he did within 5-6 weeks of his announcement, and held that lead and won his nomination too, of course. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @JakeSherman: a very interesting Pelosi quote. https://t.co/QY0X7Q6wS0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 1, 2019 Retweet Hibernated