Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Dec. 19, 2019

Created

Sat Apr 20 15:00:46 +0000 2019

Likes

716

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web Client

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not saying crowd wisdom is always right. But in this instance, the Russia investigation, public opinion has been way more sophisticated than elite commenters seem to assume in terms of weighing the evidence, and how it figures into overall assessments of the Trump presidency. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know that the Barr letter strategy worked very well at all. Polls showed the public was largely skeptical of the White House's spin. And Trump's approval rating didn't improve at all despite the initially favorable headlines. — PolitiTweet.org

"Trump and supporters filled the 25-day vacuum from letter to report with jubilant claims of vindication." And "it'… https://t.co/mMstoy1lDq

Posted April 20, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here’s my very rough prior: 1/3 chance a candidate wins a proper, outright delegate majority 1/3 chance a candidate wins a clear enough *plurality* that there’s no doubt he or she will be nominated 1/3 chance of an actual contested convention — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Separately, what odds do you place on this being decided on the first ballot? Modern history of pres… https://t.co/U2AkhapT5M

Posted April 20, 2019 Hibernated