Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 19, 2019

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Sat Apr 20 14:55:45 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know that the Barr letter strategy worked very well at all. Polls showed the public was largely skeptical of the White House's spin. And Trump's approval rating didn't improve at all despite the initially favorable headlines. — PolitiTweet.org

"Trump and supporters filled the 25-day vacuum from letter to report with jubilant claims of vindication." And "it'… https://t.co/mMstoy1lDq

Posted April 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Democrats surely have every right to make their case for impeachment and seek to persuade the public. But right now, ~55% of voters oppose impeachment, even though only ~40% approve Trump. In a democracy, IMO it's not just politically wise but *normatively* wise to consider that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not saying crowd wisdom is always right. But in this instance, the Russia investigation, public opinion has been way more sophisticated than elite commenters seem to assume in terms of weighing the evidence, and how it figures into overall assessments of the Trump presidency. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2019 Hibernated