Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: Wendy Rogers on the AZ results: "We wonder now if we were in echo chamber. I don't know. I'm just beginning to get som… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The #AZGOV outcome is the exclamation point on how badly MAGA enthusiasts bombed last week - costing Rs eminently winnable races up and down the ballot. It's a huge reason Rs are on track to net just 1-2% of all House seats despite a likely 6-7% pro-GOP vote swing. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: the U.S. just surpassed 102 million House votes counted, per @CookPolitical's tracker. Republicans' lead is down to 4.5%. https://t.co/YOAzUtsM9F https://t.co/F41fMKEmVe — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@etdorsey Thanks for the recommendation, it was awesome. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Finally, Dems get good news in #CA13, which has always looked a bit more promising for them. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems can’t catch a break now. #CA41 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

House Dems had a terrific Thurs-Sat in the late count, but they've had a pretty rough last 24-48 hours. #AZ01 #AZ06 #CA45 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. Michelle Steel (R) wins reelection in #CA45, defeating Jay Chen (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. David Schweikert (R) wins reelection in #AZ01, defeating Jevin Hodge (D). Dems narrowly lose yet another seat that was critical to their path to a House majority. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Random, but anyone have a dinner rec in Bloomington, IL that would be open on a Monday? Trying to choose but it's a Toss Up. #IL17 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And #CA47 just got more interesting, as Rep. Katie Porter’s (D) lead gets cut in half. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ve seen enough: Juan Ciscomani (R) defeats Kirsten Engel (D) in #AZ06. Dems’ path to the House majority virtually non-existent now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Once again, Dems narrow the margin in a key seat, but not at the rate they'd need to ultimately overtake #CA27 Rep. Mike Garcia (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @PatrickRuffini: Why did the GOP shift the national vote by 5-6 points but only gain a few House seats? They had as badly distributed… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The 2024 race for House begins... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@tbonier Here you go: https://t.co/YOAzUtsM9F — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems' current House wins/leads, by final @CookPolitical rating: Solid D: 159/159 (100%) Likely D: 13/13 (100%) Lean D: 15/15 (100%) Toss Up: 25/36 (69%) Lean R: 1/13 (8%) (#WA03) Likely R: 0/11 (0%) Solid R: 0/188 (0%) I'd say our ratings held up pretty damn well. https://t.co/m7wyT52POk — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Brandon Williams (R) defeats Francis Conole (D) in #NY22. Another critical seat for a narrow GOP House majority. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

More bad news for Dems in #AZ06. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@spmaloney Tough but fair! — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JRubinBlogger The fundamentals were pretty rough for Dems: 81% of voters dissatisfied w/ the economy, 43% Biden approval. And in the end, Rs won House vote by ~4%. But candidate quality (including abortion views) ended up mattering a lot more than past cycles. I take responsibility for that. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Lots of focus on Maloney, but the worst redistricting move by a Dem might have been Rep. Andy Levin’s (D) decision to primary Rep. Haley Stevens (D) in #MI11 rather than take on John James (R) in #MI10. Levin got clobbered in the primary. James beat a weak D by just 0.5%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems lost *five* NY seats that voted for Biden by more than the national result in ‘20 - including two that voted for Biden by double digits. You can’t really blame that on bad redistricting. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Between #AZ01, #AZ06 and #CA41, Dems' dreams of holding the House majority probably died tonight. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Remarkable: the swing in the House vote vs. 2020 is currently R+7.9 (will shrink a bit), but Rs on track to net just ~2% of House seats. Biggest reasons: 1) Strong D incumbents/problematic Rs in swing seats 2) Low turnout in urban safe D seats 3) More uncontested R races — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: the U.S. just surpassed 101 million House votes counted, per @CookPolitical's tracker. Republicans' lead is down to 4.9%. https://t.co/YOAzUtsM9F https://t.co/atuxBCRa81 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Been thinking about this too: elimination of a Black plurality seat in FL and denial of additional Black majority seats in AL/LA very likely to be the margin in the House. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New House math: Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06 GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05 Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22 Dems need a miracle now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another big blow to House Dems' path to 218. #CA41 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Extremely tough to see how Kari Lake (R) wins now. #AZGOV — PolitiTweet.org