Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: we're increasing our outlook for House GOP gains from 10-20 seats to 12-25 seats as Democrats' blue state problems grow. Plus, nine rating changes. Full analysis: https://t.co/QxOmHysjGl https://t.co/pcXtMxTOEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A Maloney defeat would be historic: a sitting DCCC/NRCC chair hasn't lost reelection since 1992 (when NRCC Chair Guy Vander Jagt lost his primary in Michigan), and hasn't lost a general election since 1980, when DCCC Chair Jim Corman lost in California. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

House rating change: Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D) moves from Lean D to Toss Up at @CookPolitical as Dems admit the DCCC chair is now in serious danger in #NY17. Full analysis: https://t.co/89bvezbNuw https://t.co/ncljBkSfZw — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Stand by for a major House rating change... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Political environment in Michigan holding up better for Dems than just about anywhere else. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @mmurraypolitics: Headlines from new national NBC News poll. 1. Election interest is at an all-time for a midterm, with 70% of reg. vo… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @iris_samuels: “This is the toughest campaign because of her,” Sarah Palin says at Alaska Federation of Natives candidate forum, pointin… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: House Rs have far more open seat pickup chances, but Ds have a few of their own owing to redistricting & flawed GOP nominees - likely lowering the ceiling on potential R gains. My latest on #IL13, #MI03, #NY01, #NC13, #NY22 and #WA03. https://t.co/QITeBpucB3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

ICYMI, here are @CookPolitical's new House ratings reflecting the past week's moves in #NY04 (Likely D to Lean D) and #MT01 (Likely R to Lean R). Still 211 seats at least leaning R, 193 seats at least leaning D, 31 Toss Ups. https://t.co/mAdCOttOtp https://t.co/rUOjs0bDpr — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @baseballot: Republicans have retaken the lead in our polling average of the generic congressional ballot. https://t.co/5pLjOhFG6U https… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JoshKraushaar: .@redistrict: "We have a bunch of races — 17 to be exact — in our Lean Democratic column, which means there are a lot of… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @intelligencer: Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) on the forbidding landscape for Democrats, why even big names like Katie Porter and Sean Pa… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Don’t underestimate Harrisburg — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @umichvoter: median voters! https://t.co/JPvVzO3zDs — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

ICYMI, last week @CookPolitical moved #NY04, Rep. Kathleen Rice’s (D) open seat on Long Island, from Likely D to Lean D. It’s a district where Lee Zeldin (R) could plausibly finish ahead, helping Anthony D’Esposito (R) against Laura Gillen (D). https://t.co/3HLC1416cX — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rating change: #MT01 moves from Likely R to Lean R at @CookPolitical. Keep in mind, this new Missoula/Bozeman seat is much less red than MT as a whole. Still, Monica Tranel (D) wouldn't be in the game at all if not for Ryan Zinke's (R) high negatives. https://t.co/l9V1fhUFtx — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: New House rating change: #MT01 moves from Likely R to Lean R Read @Redistrict's analysis: https://t.co/Uhig7qWCMA — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: New Senate rating changes: #FLSEN: Lean R to Likely R #WASEN: Solid D to Likely D #IASEN: Solid R to Likely R Read @Je… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not too many Dems making 2020 election denial a central theme of their ads against GOP opponents, but we’ll find out in three weeks whether it works for Rep. Elaine Luria (D) in Toss Up #VA02. https://t.co/GcuwfFrHve — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

More blue state woes for Dems: if Hochul's (D) lead is anywhere in this range (4-11%), Zeldin (R) is likely leading in every battleground House district - and there are seven of them. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: NYT/Siena shows GOP 49, Dem 45 on the generic ballot, with economic concerns weighing more heavily on voters and the summer’… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: a key structural advantage for House Rs in the homestretch? The bonanza of vulnerable Dem open seats (19), more than triple the count of vulnerable GOP ones (6). My analysis of where these races stand... https://t.co/3HLC13IWYP — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New #RI02 internal poll by Seth Magaziner (D) campaign: even after significant Dem spending, Allan Fung (R) leads Magaziner 43%-40%. Biden carried this seat 56%-42% in 2020. https://t.co/fcmWzLTUKK — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rating change alert: newly created #OR06 moves from Lean D to Toss Up at @CookPolitical. Full analysis: https://t.co/2EvFuUqtd2 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yet another dataset that backs up why both parties are so heavily invested in #RI02, a place that would typically be an easy Dem hold. @CookPolitical rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@baseballot @Nate_Cohn This district and others like it are precisely why we moved @CookPolitical PVI from a 50/50 weighting of the two most recent presidentials to a 75/25 blend in favor of the more recent presidential — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For Fung, getting to 46% to ~49% he needs to win is going to be really tough in a Biden +14 seat. But, his durable lead is why @CookPolitical continues to rate #RI02 a Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW @CookPolitical House ratings: 211 seats at least Lean R, 194 seats at least Lean D, 30 Toss Ups. In other words, Dems would still need to win 24/30 Toss Ups (80%) to keep their majority. https://t.co/mAdCOtLpRZ https://t.co/Iwj79LsgPO — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW at @CookPolitical: 10 House rating changes, including seven in Dems’ direction and three in GOP’s direction. Full analysis: https://t.co/5dgUidrlfa https://t.co/4v9JVzPxGT — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Arriving to @CookPolitical first thing in the morning: 10 more House rating changes. Stay tuned… — PolitiTweet.org