Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ve seen enough: taking a politics break for a while. https://t.co/pragtq8ilW — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@fakastler @JoePA04 @JessicaTaylor Became a dad this week...look for more from me soon. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JakeSherman: Who knows how many Rs the leadership will lose today on the Jan 6 commission. somewhere in 20-30 neighborhood is consensus… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@decunningham2 And why would they? The #IL13 pictured is Biden +12 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Another example of “establishment” or “institutions” losing their influence in politics. There was also a time when leaders… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The irony is that today, it's *Republicans* who need the badge of corporate America to make them look more moderate. In 2016/2020, I was very clear Trump had *no* chance to carry VA. I'll be clear here too: Youngkin is still the underdog, but he has a real chance. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Would add one more point: VA voters don't necessarily dislike mega-wealthy, successful businesspeople. It's part of what helped a guy named Mark Warner make inroads in Northern Virginia back in 2001. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

True story: in 2009 I was on a flight to ATL and overheard a woman two seats over say she was a state rep from AZ. “I hear AZ’s gaining a ninth district in 2012. You running?” I joked. “Yup,” she replied, deadly serious. She not only won that new seat...she’s now a senator. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @aedwardslevy: Here's a first look at the preliminary research into the 2020 general election polling error. So far, it's most definiti… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Still, a few reasons it's unlikely MS will end up with a second Black seat: 1) The 5th Circuit is among the nation's most conservative 2) Rep. Bennie Thompson (D), who voted against HR1, probably doesn't want #MS02 unpacked 3) #MS01 would need to take on a fairly weird shape — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Still, a few reasons it's unlikely MS will end up with a second Black seat: 1) The 5th Circuit is among the nation's most conservative 2) Rep. Bennie Thompson (D), who voted against HR1, probably doesn't want #MS02 district unpacked 3) #MS01 would need to take on a weird shape — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

MISSISSIPPI: Republicans control redistricting here and are likely to preserve a 3R-1D map w/ one VRA district, #MS02 (left). But there's also a chance Democrats could try to sue for a second Black majority seat (#MS03 in the example right). https://t.co/PDtenm7M5a — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The big question is what happens to #MN02, the most competitive seat in the state. The rural #MN01 below it needs to pick up population, but #MN02 Rep. Angie Craig (D) wouldn't want to give up liberal Northfield. She won by just 48%-46% in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

MINNESOTA: kept all eight of its seats by an incredible margin of 26 residents. With split control of state government and a 4D-4R delegation, the most likely outcome is a court-drawn map (example, right) that makes minor changes to the current one (left). https://t.co/a1QSEWdjMk — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you think the last ten years' 12R-4D GOP gerrymander of Ohio (left) is lopsided, just wait for Rs to propose a new 13R-2D map (example, right) that technically *complies* w/ the state's new reform criteria. Easily one of the highest-stakes states of 2022. https://t.co/BtNnzLJwm1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ClareMalone: Finally, a truly juicy data journalism story https://t.co/HXQO9gGVQj — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @davidshor: Kenosha and surrounding townships, which saw large scale property destruction during protests shortly before the 2020 electi… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, last year, a few Dem consultants used this site to relentlessly pump up McCarthy’s hopeless challenger and generate rage checks from gullible resistance types on ActBlue. She lost to McCarthy by 24 points, but the consultants got nice checks out of it. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This isn't just a very hard district for Dems; it's plainly unwinnable unless the district lines were to change dramatically. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's no meaningful GOP civil war or "struggle for the future of the party." This essay by @greenfield64 is correct. https://t.co/XmmwQjIGdC https://t.co/GBiFjBQvOL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Between primaries, redistricting and retirements, I'd be very surprised if even 5/10 House Rs who voted to impeach Trump are still in office after the midterms. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's what's really happening: people who *aren't* highly ideological forgo running for office because they can't see a route to victory w/ super fringe-y primary electorates. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: of the 23 House/Senate Rs from states w/ nonpartisan primaries (AK, CA, LA, WA), 22% voted to impeach/convict Trump. But only 5% of the 238 Rs from all other states did so. Rs from those four states were also 12% less likely than others to object to AZ/PA electors. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Late to this essay, but I've tracked congressional races professionally for 15 years and agree that banning party primaries (as a few states have done) is the only realistic way to disincentivize extremism. https://t.co/YnDnlOQA5k — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

On 11/12/20, I asked McCarthy what, in his view, were the biggest factors in Biden's win. McCarthy's top three reasons laid blame squarely w/ Trump: 1) Attacking McCain - hurt in AZ 2) Bad performance in the first debate 3) Trashing mail-in voting — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @mviser: Kevin McCarthy, following a meeting with President Biden: “I don’t think anybody is questioning the legitimacy of the president… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Are they going to be in office after the midterms? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you think Liz Cheney's GOP leadership post is an issue voters are going to care about in the midterm elections... prepare to be sorely disappointed. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @GlennKesslerWP: Quite a striking comment by McCarthy's political mentor, former Rep. Bill Thomas (R-Calif.) via @markzbarabak https://t… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Most likely VA Dem ticket right now might be three white men even though they make up only ~27% of the party’s voters. — PolitiTweet.org