Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Apologies to the @AP for criticizing what was, in retrospect, a very accurate headline. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Credit where due... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Advantage: Kathryn Garcia. And a final round win would be a *very* rare instance of overcoming a large first round deficit in RCV (first round deficit is currently 11 pts, but will narrow once absentees are added). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Advantage: Kathryn Garcia. And a final round win would be a *very* rare instance of overcoming an 11% first round deficit in RCV. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've deleted three tweets that implied 140k+ Election Day votes remained outstanding. They were indeed tabulated in today's RCV counts, and it's a misunderstanding for which I apologize. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New York City apparently decided to teach a crash course on how not to communicate that 140k+ Election Day ballots remain uncounted a week after the election. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Boom. Still 142k uncounted *Election Day* votes in addition to 124k+ uncounted absentees, per @BOENYC. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The plot twists again! — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I'm still unclear on why it's prudent for @BOENYC to start tabulating RCV before all first choice votes (incl. 124k+ absentees) are tabulated. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If turnout in the Bronx was indeed this low vs. past years (we'll see as BOE count moves forward), it could end up making the difference for Garcia, who's clearly turned in an extraordinary RCV performance. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@jebrio2016 @jazzyfresh421 It never got there...for a pretty good reason, it turns out. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@jazzyfresh421 Huh? never said 98% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow. Definitely still haven't seen enough in NYC. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@breadedcircus @IChotiner Actually I have the receipts from 2018 too and it was way worse... https://t.co/fqFSdd8fAc — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@IChotiner Whenever I feel bad about how our 2020 House forecast fared, I remind myself that this wasn't our forecast (actual screenshot from October): https://t.co/OCUWt1Npgh — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

While NYC watchers fixate on 124k+ uncounted absentees, my question: where are the uncounted *Election Day* votes from the Bronx? '21 votes counted so far as % of '18 gov primary total votes cast... Staten Island 94.2% Brooklyn 91.2% Manhattan 90.4% Queens 89.6% Bronx 69.6% (!) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Dems make "but the GQP wants to end democracy!" the centerpiece of the race in #WI03, I'd like to prematurely congratulate them on: 1) feeling proud they "stood up for what's right" 2) losing a seat critical to the House majority — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The uncomfortable reality for Dems is that the pro- democratic norms arguments that are the most compelling to the anti-Trump base tend to be the *least* effective messages w/ persuadable/Trump voters. What do they care about? Pre-existing conditions, stimulus checks, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is a decent test of whether voters in a Trump/Dem district (#WI03) are actually moved by stories about 1/6 or react with a big yawn (FWIW, Van Orden has called violence at the Capitol "absolutely horrific"). https://t.co/NQt3B3uZqE — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: NEWS: The dirty little secret of online fund-raising has long been that deceptive tactics grab cash from unsuspecting… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ThePlumLineGS @Nate_Cohn Lol. Nate has literally been the one sounding the alarm on the very real threat of subversion while others misguidedly hype relatively minor changes to voting laws and say the sky is falling — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One thing the proposed Colorado map *doesn't* do: hurt GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert (R). It would boost Trump's margin in #CO03 by about a point. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Latest at @CookPolitical: contrary to early reports, proposed CO redistricting map would slightly boost Democrats. https://t.co/OUXqjrAwcK — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My colleague @amyewalter nails it: between record levels of geographic polarization and straight-ticket voting, redistricting is the single most important key to House control in 2022. https://t.co/OdUh5TAGHF — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, the next year’s fights over redistricting maps are going to make the recent brawls over voting procedures loo… https://t.co/CypHOJmZZD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Translation: I'll probably be out of a job if Congress doesn't act and Dems are still allowed to gerrymander my state. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A setback for Dems in Upstate NY, but still possible NY Dems could oust Rep. Claudia Tenney (R) by drawing a Syracuse/Utica #NY22 that would've voted strongly for Biden and recruiting someone else. https://t.co/1Q3bZYiHck — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The CO commission's draft is similar to the Douglas County "fair fight" scenario I speculated about back in February - except it's 1) better for Democrats and 2) geographically a bit messier. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@nikiornicole @JoAnneM90804076 Simpler tweet: this plan is good for Dems. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To put the proposed new Biden +9 seat in CO in perspective, Dems currently represent 14/18 congressional districts that voted for Biden by 5-10 pts. If CO Dems are telling you this plan is a boon to GOP chances to take back the House, they're working the refs. — PolitiTweet.org