Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another big blow to House Dems' path to 218. #CA41 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Extremely tough to see how Kari Lake (R) wins now. #AZGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Huge blow to Dems in #AZ01 and their House chances overall. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Andrea Salinas (D) defeats Mike Erickson (R) in #OR06. A critical Dem pickup in Oregon's newly added seat. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Juan Ciscomani (R) extends lead over Kirsten Engel (D) to 1,773 (0.6%) in latest Pima Co. vote count. Dems running out of favorable real estate in #AZ06, a critical seat for their path to 218. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Did we overestimate GOP House gains? Yes. Did we also nail the key dynamic of 2022 - an unusually uneven landscape, w/ Dems struggling in places like NY/OR but demonstrating impressive resilience in red/purple states and districts? I'd say absolutely. https://t.co/p2sf1Btqnp — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The last batch goes in the wrong direction for Dems in #AZ06. Juan Ciscomani (R) now leads Kirsten Engel (D) by 1,617 votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ve seen enough: Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) defeats Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) in #OR05. A critical GOP pickup. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ElectProject That Jen Kiggans (R) was going to win #VA02, and she did - just like the EDay data correctly predicted a GOP romp in FL. Very fortunately for Dems, they didn’t suffer the same drop off in most of the country. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Seeing quite a few “Dems are on track to hold the House” takes from partisan accounts without any seat-by-seat evidence to back it up. It’s close, but at this writing Dems aren’t hitting the rates they’d need to in the unresolved CA seats to get to 218. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Yesterday's CA ballots, yet again, were still good but not good enough for Dems. Lots of votes left, but Dems now need to d… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@DustinGinsberg We had it in Lean R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

These gaps will certainly close substantially between now and the end of the vote count, but I'll be watching to see if they remain more pronounced in these seats than others nearby. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The vote count is far from over, but the '20-'22 swings against Dems in heavily Latino parts of LA County so far are jarring: #CA31: Biden +31, Napolitano (D) +13 #CA35: Biden +28, Torres (D) +13 #CA38: Biden +30, Sanchez (D) +10 #CA42: Biden +46, Garcia (D) +31 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yeah, I wasn't expecting both Michael Bennet and Patty Murray to be winning their races by larger margins than Chuck Schumer right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Keep in mind: had pro-Trump Republicans not turned on pro-impeachment Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) and ousted her in the primary (by 0.5%), she would have easily kept #WA03 and the House majority wouldn't really be in question right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @baseballot: The AP has also called #NVSoS for Francisco Aguilar (D), defeating Jim Marchant (R), who falsely claimed elections have bee… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New House math: Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06 GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05 Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41 Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With #WA03 and #CA49 in the books and Reps. Mary Peltola (D) and Katie Porter (D) in strong position, 2023 is likely to be the first time Republicans are shut out of every district touching the Pacific Ocean. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Jevin Hodge's (D) lead over #AZ01 Rep. David Schweikert (R) falls from 4,577 votes (1.5%) to 2,541 votes (0.8%) in latest Maricopa tally. A must-win for Dems and it's going down to the wire. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Catherine Cortez Masto pulls into the lead in Nevada, as the latest round of Clark County mail ballots goes for Ms. Cortez M… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Some positive news for Republicans in #CA41, where Rep. Ken Calvert (R) just extended his lead over Will Rollins (D) from 1,598 votes (1.2%) to 2,108 votes (1.5%). Dem path to majority gets extremely tough without this race in their column. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. Mike Levin (D) wins reelection in #CA49, defeating Brian Maryott (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) defeats Joe Kent (R) in #WA03. This is a big upset: so far, it's the only race in one of @CookPolitical's Lean/Likely columns that has gone the other way. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems on track for a crucial upset in #WA03. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It was always strange to me that Jevin Hodge (D) wasn’t taken more seriously by DC strategists/spenders/modelers considering Rep. David Schweikert’s (R) ethics issues and redistricting moving #AZ01 from Trump +4 to Biden +1. Now, it’s one of six races that will decide the House. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Despite his #OHSEN loss, Tim Ryan (D) overperformed Biden by enough to help Dems win three key House races. Still, losing Trumbull *and* Mahoning counties to J.D. Vance (R) has got to hurt. https://t.co/UusaWnw5wr — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Big implications for #AZ01, where Rep. David Schweikert (R) could take the lead over Jevin Hodge (D). Even then, it might not be a secure lead. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's possible #CA13 (Modesto) and #WA03 (Vancouver) lean slightly towards Ds at this point, and #CA41 (Riverside County) might lean ever-so-slightly towards Rs. But #AZ01 (Scottsdale), #AZ06 (Tucson) and #CA22 (Bakersfield) are the toughest to divine at the moment. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's possible #CA13 and #WA03 lean towards Ds at this point, and #CA41 might lean ever-so-slightly to Rs. But #AZ01 (Scottsdale), #AZ06 (Tucson) and #CA22 (Bakersfield) are the toughest to divine at the moment. — PolitiTweet.org