Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ECaliberSeven: Missed this earlier, but according to AP, Indiana is set to release congressional and state House maps this Tuesday. Ti… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Paul4better @ppm1214 @SpareBostonian Lol both districts are >Biden+15 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Toomertastic Lol both districts are >Biden+15 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

From what I'm hearing, the NY draft maps we'll get next week from the commission won't be aggressive gerrymanders - meaning there's next to no chance they'll be the eventual map. https://t.co/oHdHBqnch6 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This 6D-2R Maryland draft is so compact & proportional that it has next to zero chance of being enacted. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @KHammCPR: .@JessicaTaylor scans downfield for Hershel Walker's play for the #GASenate. Bonus: free football analogies. 🔐https://t.co/nL… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

ALABAMA: a quick look at census data reveals it would be pretty easy to unpack the current 61% Black #AL07 (left) into two 51% Black districts (#AL02 and #AL07, right). I've got a feature-length story on this topic coming up soon, following a summer's worth of interviews. https://t.co/SEqEnOvFZb — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@baseballot Disagree. If your goal is to win the House majority in at least a neutral environment, you’re better off maximizing your chances in #NH01 than drawing two substantially Biden districts. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meet Nashville, the next Austin (ironically, Austin is likely to get a new Dem seat while Nashville's is likely to be eliminated). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To be clear, there is nothing final about this approach - and I've also heard from TN GOP operatives who are leery slicing up Nashville could backfire later in the decade and don't think it'll ultimately happen. We'll see. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Although an initial draft isn't yet public, our Tennessee analysis from August highlighted how Republicans could flip #TN05 from a Biden +23 to a Trump +20 district by adding Williamson & other counties- while surrounding GOP seats would remain Trump +25 or more. https://t.co/67yHoszZyl — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: per two TN sources, Republicans are proceeding w/ drafting a redistricting plan that would carve up Nashville, likely dooming #TN05 Rep. Jim Cooper (D) and converting current 7R-2D map into 8R-1D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My favorite feature: easily track how many people each current district needs to gain/lose to reach the necessary 2022 district population. https://t.co/zQRAKuasbF — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, there are 24 Democrats and 14 Republicans in our highest-risk tier. There are also 34 Ds and 34 Rs in our "slight risk" tier. These ratings will evolve as the redistricting process unfolds in each state. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW: track which 38 House incumbents & districts are most at risk in redistricting w/ @CookPolitical's free new interactive. Feature-rich w/ district population data & links to our full analysis (credit: @alflinn). https://t.co/NvUk3fHt1E https://t.co/fTUahREiIw — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: https://t.co/8oCYCChJT1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As expected, NE Republicans propose splitting Omaha while Dems would make #NE02 even bluer. I wouldn’t count on either of these being the final plan. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@brent_peabody @CookPolitical Perils of filing your draft a week early — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The five factors that will decide House control in 2022: - Redistricting - The political environment - Retirements - Recruitment - Turnout dynamics My new 2,200-word House overview is up at @CookPolitical. https://t.co/IQGm3THQQO https://t.co/JXpxBkJp7b — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: “more worrisome for Biden (and Ds overall), is that the intensity of opposition to the president is also on the rise, while… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Colorado is a state that naturally lends itself to pretty clean lines that would still promote competitiveness & Latino opportunities. As @Nate_Cohn has noted, this staff draft's lines are just bizarre. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We're inevitably going to be hearing a lot about House incumbents who get "paired" in the same districts. And, although there will end up being some duels, far more often incumbents move to adjacent winnable seats - or end up retiring. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As redistricting begins, take a deep breath and remember two things to stay sane: 1) Most drafts are going to change *a lot* between now & final passage 2) Candidates don't have to live in the districts where they run (i.e. Neguse & Boebert aren't going to be facing off) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@baseballot @kkondik @StephenBeban @geoffreyvs @JMilesColeman @nathanlgonzales @PoliticsWolf @TossupReport AFAIK, OR Dems can still use the parliamentary rules to discharge any bill bottled up in committee to the floor for a full vote, where obviously they have large majorities — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Challenge for Dems on selling infrastructure + reconciliation: Until voters feel it's ok to stop worrying about COVID, it’s… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This proposal isn’t quite as favorable to Dems as the one that was released back in June, but would still *probably* result in a 5D-3R split. Still a long way to go w/ this new commission. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yeah, not going to happen. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The biggest winner in the OR Dem proposal - besides whoever ends up winning a safe blue #OR06 - would be Rep. Peter DeFazio (D), whose Eugene-based #OR04 would move from Clinton +0.1 in '16 to Clinton +9.0. DeFazio won by just 5.3 pts in 2020, but would be safe under this map. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Follow @GarrettHerrin for great data & visualizations of new maps. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As we predicted a few days ago, the Dem map proposes a district from Portland to Bend, but it's #OR03 here, and Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D) would likely run for it. The new #OR06 would technically be anchored by Dem-leaning Washington Co. and Salem. — PolitiTweet.org