Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As several people have pointed out, Rep. Miller-Meeks (R)'s home in Ottumwa would remain in #IA02 under this plan. But, most of her current district, including Davenport and Iowa City, would end up in Hinson (R)'s #IA01. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It would also keep Des Moines's #IA03 winnable for Rep. Cindy Axne (D), only slightly changing its 2020 results from Trump +0.2 to Biden +0.2. That raises the prospect of a 2D-2R delegation, which Republicans probably aren't going to like. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This draft from IA's nonpartisan LSA now goes to the GOP legislature for consideration. It's going to be a tough sell, b/c it puts #IA01 Rep. Ashley Hinson (R) & #IA02 Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) together in a Biden +9 district (#IA01 here). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This draft, proposed by Iowa's nonpartisan LSA, now goes to the GOP legislature for consideration. It's going to be a tough sell, b/c it puts #IA02 Rep. Ashley Hinson (R) & #IA02 Rep. Mariannette Miller Meeks (R) into a Biden +9 district (#IA01). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: Better photo here! https://t.co/p7p8q73Fdh — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: NEW: Iowa's nonpartisan redistricting agency is out with its 1st draft congressional map Only have a rough early picture… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Raise your hand if you found the CA recall utterly boring but have instead been excited all week for Iowa's first redistricting map release (11am ET today). ✋ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hard to see why OH Republicans wouldn't unilaterally attempt to pass a four-year congressional gerrymander & keep updating later in the 2020s. Worst-case scenario: gets struck down by state Sup Ct. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: CA was first ‘real’ test of vaccine/mask mandates as powerful weapon for Dems. BUT, not only was this done in a state that’… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@tealtalk More like "This isn't as good for Dems as Twitter thinks it is." And for good reason. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@AudreyHabsfan That's false — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I can't overstate the need to put these off-year races in context. If Newsom survives by 25% (?) and McAuliffe were to win by 5%, they'd be spun as big Dem wins. But that same ~5 pt swing right from the 2020 Biden/Trump margin would easily win Rs the House & Senate in 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

You can pretty much throw these competing NY drafts out. We're in the theatrical phase of the state's redistricting process. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Makes it quite likely the commission won't come to an agreement and the Dem-controlled NY legislature will eventually take over the process. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@lxeagle17 Yes, the districts. If the margin is only 4% in OC county-wide, "No" is definitely winning at least some congressional districts there. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Even though the recall resoundingly failed, "Yes" is on track to prevail in a handful of competitive House districts, including in Orange County. Even a 20-25% "No" margin statewide could be consistent w/ an environment in which Republicans take back the House & Senate in 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: NEW: The Trump era created tons of possible new pickups for House Ds — but many will disappear in new maps Rs easily shor… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: there are a lot more Democrats than Republicans in California. Fortunately for Republicans, they don’t need to win any Biden +29 states/districts to win back Congress in 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @markzbarabak: Tweet-length Analysis: There are far more Democrats than Republicans in California. Early interest + intensity were on th… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Headed to bed. Goodnight. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: the vote to recall CA Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) fails. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fitting that the first results are from Napa Co. - where Newsom is beating the recall 72%-28% in the first ballot batch (which we'd expect to skew Dem). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Excellent story by @npfandos on why New York could be the biggest redistricting weapon for either party in the country. https://t.co/xPT75CewxF — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @mcpli: The redistricting provisions of the Freedom to Vote Act have a number of differences from the earlier For the People Act. Some o… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow. If this IN GOP map passes, Dems would breathe pretty big sigh of relief. https://t.co/iFGoCrSGa5 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: New: Indiana Rs are out with a House map proposal. Still a 7R-2D split #IN05 get safer for Rs by ceding its piece of Mari… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: NEW for subscribers: Don't miss @Redistrict's latest Virginia redistricting preview (🔒): https://t.co/QcbWhMvxy0 https:/… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In fact, @brianneDMR has a great story on Iowa's distinctive tradition of redistricting and whether it can survive… https://t.co/PclK3lLBB5 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Mark your calendars: Iowa's first map proposals drop Thursday. The big question: in an era of broken norms, will IA… https://t.co/4zmN2xa6pI — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Tomorrow, we'll get an early indication of how aggressively Rs plan to draw maps when we see a draft plan in Indiana. As we noted back in December, Rs could plausibly gerrymander #IN01 Rep. Frank Mrvan (D) into a Trump district. We'll find out soon. — PolitiTweet.org