Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As expected, the Alabama legislature's proposal continues to pack Black voters into just one seat (#AL07), even though it's pretty easy to draw 2/7 districts w/ Black majorities. Dems will pursue a federal lawsuit, though it's a long shot. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JackPeter124 Taylorville is in proposed 15th — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've deleted the earlier tweet that misstated the incumbent pairings in this proposal. The correct ones are: #IL06: Reps. Marie Newman (D) & Sean Casten (D) #IL12: Reps. Mike Bost (R) & Mary Miller (R) #IL16: Reps. Adam Kinzinger (R) & Darin LaHood (R) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@danbalz Most of Freeport is with most of Rockford in #IL17, though both are split. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One correction: #IL16 Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R) lives on the Grundy Co. side of Channahon, so he'd technically be paired with #IL18 Rep. Darin LaHood (R) in this proposed version of #IL16, not #IL01 Rep. Bobby Rush (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Interestingly, this proposal still leaves #IL13 and #IL17 about two points shy of the top Biden margins possible in hypothetical Rockford-to-Bloomington and East St. Louis-to-Champaign districts. But, these gerrymanders are much closer to "maxed out" than in the first draft. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For one, crazy gerrymanders like these are a nightmare for already-overburdened election administrators to implement. This map splits way more counties than necessary to achieve its desired partisan aim. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's why I'd consider this new 14D-3R proposal a "safer," more brutal partisan play (vs. first draft)... #IL03 Newman (D) - Biden +12 (Biden +6) #IL14: Underwood (D) - Biden +12 (Biden +8) #IL17: Bustos (D) - Biden +9 (Biden +6) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This version also (very blatantly) merges the homes of Reps. Mary Miller (R) and Mike Bost (R) in a new #IL12, and puts Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R)'s house into Rep. Bobby Rush (D)'s plurality Black #IL01 (!). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As I hinted last Sunday, this version creates a new, much-anticipated Latino seat (#IL03) on the north side of Chicago. But, it would do so by merging the homes of Reps. Marie Newman (D) and Sean Casten (D) in a reconfigured #IL06. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: as predicted, IL Dems have revised their proposal to a safer, more aggressive 14D-3R gerrymander. It's still about as ugly as before, though. https://t.co/Av1otFjvWl https://t.co/Nydc9mhd4E — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

West Virginia becomes the fifth state to complete congressional redistricting (excluding Arkansas, where the GOP's map is slated to become law soon without the governor's signature). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @DavidIRamadan: @Redistrict Nope: not when Biden approval ratings are 60%+ Dave; and not if @TerryMcAuliffe is the Dem nominee; and not… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wisconsin Republicans' draft map would shift #WI03 from Trump +5 (left) to Trump +7 (right), locking in a 6R-2D delegation. Gov. Tony Evers (D) will veto it, but it's not clear a court-drawn map will be much better for Ds unless judges split up Madison or Milwaukee. https://t.co/CWRoHYgCYt — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New from me at @CookPolitical: analysis of the latest developments in Iowa, Montana, Ohio and Virginia. https://t.co/kjRvuefU5l https://t.co/O3vNzcevTR — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: I spend a lot of time thinking about how to fix our deep polarization and partisanship. I don’t have the answer, but I have… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The latest proposal from the nonpartisan LSA has strong potential to lock Iowa Dems out of federal office entirely. Rep. Cindy Axne (D)’s #IA03 would remain a narrow Trump seat, but key suburbs of Omaha/Des Moines would be replaced by more GOP-trending small towns, like Ottumwa. https://t.co/uUK4pdLPOv — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is a dream GOP map, w/ the state’s four largest Dem vote centers (Des Moines, Ames, Iowa City, Cedar Rapids) split into separate districts. Trump would’ve carried 4/4 seats. In first draft, Biden would’ve won 2/4. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

How terrible is WI's political geography for Dems? Under two of the three maps proposed by Gov. Tony Evers (D)'s non-binding commission tasked with drawing "non-gerrymandered" maps, Rs would likely win 6/8 districts in an evenly divided state. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Lesson from VA's debacle: not all redistricting commissions are created equal - or equipped to succeed. For one to have any incentive to deal, there's got to be some unaffiliated representation (see CO, CA, MI) or a tie-breaker (NJ, AZ, MT). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @vpapupdates: It looks like the entire task of redistricting -- state legislative and congressional maps -- is headed for the #Virginia… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @davidaxelrod: Who runs Congress? That depends, in part, on who draws the maps! Tomorrow @UChiPolitics, the greatest minds on congressio… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: latest version of TX GOP's congressional map would move #TX15 Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D)'s McAllen home into bluer #TX34 to clear the path for a GOP takeover of the redrawn #TX15, an 81% Hispanic seat slated to shift from Biden +2 to Trump +3. https://t.co/i4ziyhq32C — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Possible redistricting implications here, as NC Republicans could attempt to fold #NC04 in w/ Rep. Kathy Manning (D)’s #NC06 for a 10R-4D map. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Republicans would love to stuff Dems from Conor Lamb’s open #PA17 into this newly open Pittsburgh seat. But the likelihood in PA is still a court-drawn map. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This would likely pave the way for a new Hispanic Dem in #TX35. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Seriously, there's no better place to talk gerrymandering right now than the place where it's the state pastime (and I'll be meeting w/ key sources there this week. Stay tuned). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In Chicago? Wanna nerd out over redistricting? I'll be LIVE this Wednesday at @UChiPolitics w/ the talented @AllyMutnick interviewing the parties' top strategists. Be there or be [insert gerrymandered shape here]. https://t.co/M2gbI8Tyby https://t.co/xPppOh9FmP — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ElectProject It's not possible to draw two districts w/ >50% citizen VAP, but extremely possible to draw two districts w/ >50% Hispanic VAP. I'd be curious how a court would decide that question, considering the three Black plurality districts in the first draft aren't all >50% VAP. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: a Chicago-based Dem legislator I've spoken w/ is floating the idea of a safer 14D-3R map w/ 14 seats that are Biden +11 or more *and* a new 2nd Hispanic seat on the north side (#IL03 in sketch below). We'll see. https://t.co/YglKosaq9q https://t.co/PrwLoeBDX2 — PolitiTweet.org