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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: McAuliffe closes w/ Charlottesville & Lafayette Square. If trying to make the election a referendum on Trump doesn’t work i… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@PhilArballo False: this map is not a proposal. It’s a starting point towards a draft and will change. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In this scenario, if Waters were to move into Bass's open #CA37 to the north and Barragan were to run and win in #CA44 to the south, it would leave SoCal with only one Black member of Congress. I can't imagine that's going to go over well w/ the Black community in LA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In this scenario, if Waters were to move into Bass's open #CA37 to the north and Barragan were to run and win in #CA44 to the south, it would leave CA with only one Black member of Congress. I can't imagine that's going to go over well w/ the Black community in LA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021 Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Which LA Dem seat would be eliminated in this visualization? To my eye it's Rep. Maxine Waters's (D) #CA43, which would be absorbed by Rep. Karen Bass's (D) open #CA37 to the north and Rep. Nanette Barragan's (D) #CA44 to the south. I'm thinking this is bound to change. https://t.co/iPGgI4eWeV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Disclaimer: this isn't even an official draft and it's going to change a lot in the months ahead, depending on public testimony. That said, my guess is that anything like this map would perform pretty well for Rs in 2022, but would have upside for Ds later in the decade. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Notable shifts in this early "visualization" (South): #CA25 Garcia (R) - Biden +10 to +12 #CA36 Ruiz (D) - Biden +14 to +8 #CA39 Kim (R) - Biden +10 to +8 #CA45 Porter (D) - Biden +11 to +15 #CA48 Steel (R) - Biden +2 to Trump +1 #CA50 Issa (R) - Trump +8 to Biden +6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Notable shifts in this early "visualization" (North): #CA01 LaMalfa (R) - Trump +15 to +6 #CA04 McClintock (R) - Trump +10 to +8 #CA07 Bera (D) - Biden +14 to +4 #CA10 Harder (D) - Biden +3 to Trump +1 #CA21 Valadao (R) - Biden +11 to +9 #CA22 Nunes (R) - Trump +5 to Biden +3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

First read: this "starting point" map for the CA commission is decent for Rs. It eliminates a Dem seat in LA County (as expected) and imperils Harder (D) in #CA10, while leaving all incumbent 11 Rs w/ a path to victory (though Nunes & esp. Issa would face much tougher races). https://t.co/dK661YHE6J — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A must-have for any House aficionado... — PolitiTweet.org

Kyle Kondik @kkondik

My new history of House elections since the 1960s, "The Long Red Thread," is now available. We published an excerpt… https://t.co/fF38GjEX1T

Posted Oct. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @HacksOnTap: We’ve seen enough(!) it’s time for a new episode of Hacks on Tap with @davidaxelrod, @murphymike, and expert Hackaroo @Redi… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Early vote data is a totally useless indicator of what the ultimate VA electorate will look like next week. [checks early vote numbers anyway out of boredom] — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We'll get firmer numbers soon, but if this map were adopted (and it's not even an official draft yet)... #CA22 Devin Nunes (R) - Trump +5 to Biden +3 (?) #CA10 Josh Harder (D) - Biden +3 to Trump +1 (?) #CA25 Mike Garcia (R) - Biden +10 to Biden +12 More to come... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yeah, it's going to take me a few minutes to unpack this visualization (which is sure to change a lot en route to a formal draft). — PolitiTweet.org

The Redistrict Network @RedistrictNet

#NEW: The CA Redistricting Commission has released its first set of statewide legislative and congressional visuali… https://t.co/9YcPc9Gaks

Posted Oct. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ChicoDelainky @daveweigel Lol what? Try finding a single thing I said about the CA recall prior to election night...I didn't even follow the race. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@daveweigel Lol I was mocking my repliers — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Premature tweet, Dave. The election hasn't happened yet. — PolitiTweet.org

David Weigel @daveweigel

Remember when people were angry at @Redistrict for suggesting that the Virginia elections could get close? What was that all about?

Posted Oct. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We're now up to six states that have completed new congressional maps, with 38 left to go. Keep tabs on @CookPolitical's new ratings: https://t.co/dUuIJ3Chn5? https://t.co/xCkdqRmsFQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Under the new TX lines, @CookPolitical rates 23 seats as Solid R and 13 seats as Solid D. The only other two: #TX15 OPEN (Gonzalez) (D) - Lean R #TX23 Tony Gonzales (R) - Likely R Full analysis: https://t.co/XmAzZgH4nU https://t.co/hwyxqPqbiJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New Texas maps, 2022 House ratings & analysis are live for @CookPolitical subscribers (GIF credit: @Alflinn). https://t.co/XmAzZgH4nU https://t.co/QNsL52BZzl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

More likely scenario: Dems create a GOP vote sink for Garbarino and a whole bunch of Dems run for a neighboring, heavily Dem open #NY01 that goes out to the Hamptons. — PolitiTweet.org

Kirk A. Bado @kirk_bado

Big #NY02 news: @VoteJackie4NY (D) is launching a rematch against @GarbarinoforNY (R) today. Last year Garbarino be… https://t.co/MVg0ICBgzp

Posted Oct. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: Subscribers! Don't forget to register ASAP for Thursday's special #redistricting briefing with @Redistrict & @amyewalter… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2021 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @jbalmert: "This rationale is asinine. I should vote no," @FrankLaRose texted his chief of staff about the GOP statement defending its m… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2021 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hearing quite a bit of “if only Dems gerrymander brutally enough, it might compel Republicans to get on board with reform legislation.” Um, no. Rs still have the slightly better end of this deal. The biggest net effect: fewer red state Ds/blue state Rs and more polarization. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 25, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@baseballot @capitolfax @FiveThirtyEight Because Davis's house in Taylorville is in the new #IL15 (if you screw up who lives where, @capitolfax will call you out on his site. I know from personal experience). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 25, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Gov. Greg Abbott (R) has signed his party's 25R-13D congressional map into law, making Texas the sixth state to complete redistricting. Dems are backing a lawsuit alleging discrimination, but post-Shelby (unlike in 2011) the DOJ doesn't have power to block the new lines. https://t.co/vlYyinleNs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 25, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Based on what I'm hearing, NY Dems intend to gerrymander aggressively, but perhaps not w/ the same crazy contortions Upstate that IL Dems used Downstate (e.g., they're still likely to draw a fairly compact CD for Stefanik in the North Country). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 25, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The question is whether NY's more secure Dem incumbents will agree to something this aggressive - or whether Albany Dems just overrule them. For example, would AOC/Bowman/Jones be on board w/ taking on hyper-GOP parts of Rockland/Orange/Westchester to help their party? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 25, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New York 2020 presidential data now in @davesredist (h/t @vest_team). It confirms priors that it could be pretty easy for NY Dems to draw a map in which 23/26 seats would've voted Biden +10 or more in 2020 (up from 17/27 today). https://t.co/Tt2SZ4y6UH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 25, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In September, I detailed the situation in Alabama and why #AL07 Rep. Terri Sewell (D) and a growing list of other CBC members now support unpacking their districts to address chronic Black underrepresentation in the Deep South. https://t.co/GyUjmGvaYT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 25, 2021