Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Redistricting realities: hitting up donors for $1.9 million, only to drop out of the race when the district isn't drawn the way you hoped. #CO03 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Redistricting is in full swing. Do you need to track what's changing? @CookPolitical subscribers get access to our full analysis, scenario maps & population breakdowns for every state in the nation. https://t.co/ot7MOpadWG https://t.co/CMWRa1sOCy — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This would absolutely be true if you expanded the House from 435 to, say, 331 million. But doubling/tripling the size of the House? That gets you into state legislative district territory in many states. Have you seen how lopsided gerrymandered state legislatures can be? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The most insane take on this site that just won't die is that "uncapping the House" would somehow be a magic fix for partisan gerrymandering. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New for @CookPolitical subscribers: we've got the inside scoop on North Carolina's no-holds-barred GOP gerrymander, who's likely running where & the court battle to come. https://t.co/zoji2WHhSZ https://t.co/lj4uLy5mSB — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: with 11 states complete (pending lawsuits), a quarter of states w/ more than one seat have passed new congressional lines. View @CookPolitical's 2022 ratings & PVI scores for the new districts here: https://t.co/dUuIJ3Chn5 https://t.co/oROhEpRjrO — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Murphy's (D) margin of victory in #NJGOV is on track to be a slightly larger than Youngkin's (R) in #VAGOV, but the scariest part for Dems may be how consistent the pro-GOP swing was on Tuesday... NJ: Biden +16 to Murphy +3.5 (?) VA: Biden +10 to Youngkin +2.5 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Iowa's tradition holds, as Gov. Reynolds signs the second-draft maps proposed by IA's nonpartisan Legislative Services Agency into law. Iowa becomes the 11th state to finish congressional redistricting (33 to go). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Alabama becomes the 10th state to finalize a congressional map. Dems are certain to sue b/c the GOP map keeps Black voters hyper-packed in just one of the state's seven seats, #AL07. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I wouldn’t call Dem turnout a disaster. If you’d told me before Tuesday that McAuliffe would get 1.6 million votes (almost 200k more than Northam ‘17), I’d have guessed he’d won. It’s more that Youngkin turned Trump voters out at phenomenal levels and Dems couldn’t keep pace. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NC & OH's brutal GOP gerrymanders drive home why redistricting is massively more consequential to partisan outcomes than changes to voting procedures, etc. - even though it gets less attention. State court decisions over these two maps alone could decide 5-8 House seats. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: in the last few minutes, NC's GOP legislature officially adopted this map, and Gov. Roy Cooper (D) has no veto power over maps. This plan is now law - and the stampede to the courthouse begins. https://t.co/Lf9Zh7pUoZ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NC's NAACP et. al. have already sued in state court to block it on basis of failing to consider race. Dems also likely to pursue a partisan gerrymandering claim in state court (but NC courts have crept right since 2019). If this map stands, Dems are likely doomed here in 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NC Republicans are going for the jugular: the state senate-approved congressional map move NC from 8R-5D to 10R-3R-1C, dooming #NC06 Rep. Kathy Manning (D) and diluting the Black share in Rep. G.K. Butterfield's (D) #NC01 from 44% to 41% - which could end his career too. https://t.co/CDFHOd4qyG — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @jmartNYT: In its own way, Fairfax illustrates why the Dem rural decline matters so much: you can now win the biggest county in the stat… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Worth reading: https://t.co/p5oFjfcVrS — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not very often. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The flip side: by purging Portsmouth/Dover/Durham from #NH01, Republicans would cede Rep. Annie Kuster (D) a safe Dem seat. Her #NH02 would move from Biden +9 to Biden +17. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Republicans' proposed map in New Hampshire would flip Rep. Chris Pappas (D)'s #NH01 from Biden +6 to Trump +2, severely endangering his hold on the seat. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@aseitzwald Keep in mind, though, that Dems started out w/ 257 seats heading into 2010. They start out w/ 222 heading into 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If there's a silver lining for Dems in getting swept in VA yesterday, it's the opportunity for a clean slate/new generation to rise. Tbh, I don't think McAuliffe was the most electable candidate Dems could have nominated (and same might have applied for Herring in 2025). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In VA, GOP House of Delegates candidates outperformed the '20 Biden/Trump margin in their districts by a median of 12.3 pts. If that swing were superimposed nationally, Rs would pick up 51 House seats. That's how awful the political environment is for Dems right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To put yesterday in context: in NJ, GOP legislative candidates outperformed the '20 Biden/Trump margin in their districts by a median of 10.8 pts. If that swing were superimposed nationally, Rs would pick up 44 House seats in 2022 (before even factoring in redistricting). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The only NJ/VA Dem legislative gain of the night was in NJ's #LD16, where Andrew Zwicker (D) appears to have defeated Mike Pappas (R) for state senate (as an aside, this is the district where I grew up). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: last night's down-ballot results spell 2022 distress for Democrats. https://t.co/T9PGuBxk82 https://t.co/BqYVEJm3hQ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: McAuliffe is nearly 200,000 votes ahead of Northam's tally in 2017, despite likely d-->R defections. Murphy is already matc… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Virginia not looking quite as blue as New England today... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Next time you need a reminder this site isn't based in reality, read the replies/QTs to this.👇 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The only competitive district on this map would be GOP Rep. Steve Chabot (R)'s #OH01, where Cincinnati is required to be kept whole per Ohio's new rules. But if the 2022 environment is anything like we saw last night, Rs would stand a decent chance of keeping it. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If enacted, this map would end #OH09 Rep. Marcy Kaptur's (D) career by flipping her seat red. It would also flip Rep. Tim Ryan's (D) open #OH13 red and eliminate retiring Rep. Anthony Gonzalez's (R) #OH16. Pretty much the last remaining obstacle is the OH Supreme Court. — PolitiTweet.org