Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hardcore redistricting nerds are up late watching CA’s redistricting commission @WeDrawTheLines marathon map session. Now discussing the Gingles test as it pertains to drawing VRA-compliant districts in Orange County. Riveting, edge of seat stuff. https://t.co/vwOqYWP7c0 https://t.co/ytcPk197XS — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@that_kinda_boy It’s Biden +15 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @dannybarefoot: Back to Trump for a moment. We ask who here agrees that Glenn Youngkin is very similar or somewhat similar to Donald Tru… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you think the mapmaking portion of the redistricting process is ugly, just wait for the lawsuits. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Maryland is one of Dems' few redistricting weapons, and a draft could come any hour now. A "maximal" Dem map would be 8D-0R, giving all 7 Dem incumbents Biden 20+ seats and flipping Rep. Andy Harris's (R) #MD01 from Trump +20 (left) to Biden 15+ (example, right). We'll see... https://t.co/UPQHBNkU1q — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

After the commission's deadlock, redistricting in VA now falls to the Supreme Court of Virginia. I'm skeptical the "special masters" appointed by both parties' leaders will be able to arrive at a consensus map, so the right-leaning court looms large here. https://t.co/hDyhzsYX5i — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @samshirazim: You want recent example of getting better margins in rural areas? Mark Warner got 26% of vote in Buchanan in 2020 Might… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A modest victory for Dems in Michigan, as all three of the commission’s finalist maps would have broken down 7-6 Biden in 2020 (current map was 8-6 Trump). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Not true. It’s interesting that the exit polls are wrong on this, given that they’re weighted geographically (tho urbanicity… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breakdown of House Rs $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill: Republicans from NJ/NY: 6/10 yes (60%) Republicans from everywhere else: 7/203 yes (3%) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Entirely expected, but Utah Republicans ignore the state’s new advisory commission to propose a 4R-0D map that probably eliminates any chance Dems win federal office for the next decade. Expect Maryland Dems to do the reverse in the next few days. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Kudos if you predicted the headline "House Republicans rescue Biden/Pelosi agenda." — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Interesting: #WV01 Rep. David McKinley (R) votes "yes" even though he's in a primary against #WV02 Rep. Alex Mooney (R) in a merged seat. Raises question whether he will ultimately join ranks of "yes" retirees (along w/ Kinzinger, Gonzalez, Reed and probably Upton). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Bacon were to go down in a GOP primary, #NE02 (Biden +7) would rocket to the top of Dems' takeover target list. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JakeSherman: Goodness gracious — 13 Republican yes votes. katko bacon van drew young upton kinzinger gonzales reed smith garbarino… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Add one more... #OH16 Anthony Gonzalez (R) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: the $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill passes the House and heads to President Biden's desk. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Add two more... #NJ04 Chris Smith (R) #PA01 Brian Fitzpatrick (R) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Seven Republicans voting "yes" so far: #AKAL Don Young (R) #IL16 Adam Kinzinger (R) #MI06 Fred Upton (R) #NE02 Don Bacon (R) #NJ02 Jeff Van Drew (R) #NY23 Tom Reed (R) #NY24 John Katko (R) Turns out Dems had a back channel... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Bencjacobs: John Katko is the first Republican to vote yes — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This vote might take longer to call than #VAGOV. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @washingtonweek: Tonight, @nhannahjones, @evamckend, @KellyO, & @Redistrict join @Yamiche to discuss the issues that defined the guberna… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you thought six votes in #IA02 was close, meet five in #FL20. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JulieCareyNBC: Election officials confirm the underage son of Virginia Governor-elect Glenn Youngkin twice tried to vote on Election Da… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Among the names I'm hearing for the three new safely red seats NC's GOP legislature just drew: #NC04 (Raleigh exurbs): ex-Rep. Renee Ellmers (R) #NC07 (Burlington/Asheboro): ex-Rep. Mark Walker (R) #NC13 (Gaston/Cleveland Co.): State House Speaker Tim Moore (R) Hmm... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Why would NJ Dems agree to sacrifice one of their own seats? Because in light of Tuesday's results, they could easily lose 2-3 of their seats - at a minimum, Malinowski and #NJ03 Rep. Andy Kim (D) - if the current map were left more or less intact in 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW JERSEY: Dems I've spoken w/ now believe they would be lucky to emerge w/ a 9D-3R split in 2022 (vs. 10D-2R now), raising the chances they cut a deal w/ GOP commissioners to throw #NJ07 Rep. Tom Malinowski (D) under the bus to shore up #NJ03, #NJ05 and #NJ11 (example, right). https://t.co/CJMQnuSA2A — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: voters' rejection of a constitutional amendment to modify NY's redistricting process on Tuesday could leave NY Dems w/ less time and less margin for defections to pass an aggressive gerrymander early next year. https://t.co/0JOYzHNy31 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For context: national Dems had been hoping for a western #MT01 more like this one, which would have been just Trump +2. https://t.co/XXjF4eVqBJ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: in a setback for Dems, the tie-breaking member of Montana's commission has sided w/ its GOP members to pick a map that would place Helena in an eastern #MT02 and make the western #MT01 Trump +7, very likely resulting in a 2R-0D delegation. https://t.co/nyTg4S6AvR — PolitiTweet.org